Model: TipTromba3H
Sao Cristovao U20 – Duque de Caxias U20
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 29, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 27d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.00% · n=84
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 28d 7h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sao Cristovao U20 | Duque de Caxias U20 |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-W-L | L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 2.33 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-L-L (home) | L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 1.75 conceded | 1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 5.00 against | 5.00 for / 7.67 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current2.75Now
Max odds2.81Highest point
Min odds2.75Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Sao Cristovao U20 – Duque de Caxias U20 Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 7.00% across 84 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample18
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+7.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | FC Honka - VJS Vantaa | 2.90 | 7.34% |
| LOSS | Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv - Maccabi Herzliya | 2.90 | 7.34% |
| LOSS | Brooklyn FC - Hartford Athletic | 2.90 | 7.00% |
| LOSS | Amanat Baghdad - Al Kahrabaa | 2.75 | 7.00% |
| WIN | CD Platense - Olancho FC | 2.80 | 7.00% |
| LOSS | Fish United - TP-T | 2.90 | 5.71% |
| WIN | Lyon II - Montpellier II | 2.75 | 5.71% |
| LOSS | FC Vaajakoski - SJK Akatemia II | 2.90 | 7.00% |
Pick
1 @ 2.75
Kickoff
Apr 29, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 7.00% • n=84
Start
Started 27d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 28d 7h ago