Sao Jose PA vs Marcilio Dias
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sao Jose PA. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sao Jose PAValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.39. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sao Jose PA's attacking profile.
Sao Jose PA – Marcilio Dias Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Vikingur Reykjavik - Gyori ETO | 2.47 | 3.15% |
| WIN | BFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas | 2.25 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Nautico - EC Juventude | 2.27 | 3.15% |
| WIN | Club Atletico Temperley - Tristan Suarez | 2.41 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W) | 2.52 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Denver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W) | 2.47 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Wuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue | 2.38 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Jacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U20 | 2.30 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPS - P-Iirot | 1 | 2.47 | 3.15% | 11 Jul 16:00 |