Model: TIPPSH
Sao Jose PA – Marcilio Dias
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.39
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 25, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 2d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sao Jose PA | Marcilio Dias |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-W-D-D | D-W-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-D-L (home) | D-W-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.75 scored / 0.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 3.80 against | 3.00 for / 5.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 4.50 against (home) | 3.00 for / 4.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Sao Jose PA has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current2.63Now
Max odds3.31Highest point
Min odds2.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Sao Jose PA – Marcilio Dias Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.39. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample55
Win Rate38.2%
Profit-7.87u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Essendon Royals (W) - Box Hill (W) | 2.40 | 2.49% |
Pick
1 @ 2.39
Kickoff
Mag 25, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 2d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 3h ago