Sao Jose PA – Marcilio Dias

Model: TIPPSH

Sao Jose PA vs Marcilio Dias

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.39
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 25, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 47d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 19h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sao Jose PA. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sao Jose PA

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.90First seen
Current2.63Now
Max odds3.31Highest point
Min odds2.63Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sao Jose PAHOME
VS
Marcilio DiasAWAY
DDWDD
Recent form
DWWWL
Avg goals scored
0.60
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.60
Shots on target for
5.00
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
5.20
Home splitD-W-D-L0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-W-W-D0.75 scored / 0.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.39. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Serie D (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.39
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sao Jose PA's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 28.7% 7D: 34.6% 15D: 21.6% 30D: 8.0%
Model insight

Sao Jose PA – Marcilio Dias Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.39. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
EPS - P-Iirot12.473.15%11 Jul 16:00
Pick
1 @ 2.39
Kickoff
Mag 25, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 47d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 19h ago
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