Sassuolo – Frosinone

Model: TIPPSH

Sassuolo vs Frosinone

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.88
StatusUpcoming
KickoffSet 02, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d 23h
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 44m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sassuolo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SassuoloGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.024 | A: 0.092

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current1.88Now
Max odds1.93Highest point
Min odds1.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SassuoloHOME
VS
FrosinoneAWAY
WLLWL
Recent form
WLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
6.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
4.80
Home splitW-W-L-D-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W2.00 scored / 0.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Coppa Italia (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.88
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Sassuolo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 15.3% 7D: 8.9% 15D: 17.3% 30D: 8.2%
Model insight

Sassuolo – Frosinone Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample347
Win Rate51.9%
Profit-0.68u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINVila Nova - Ceara1.883.37%
LOSSServette - Lucerne1.913.37%
LOSSFC Tallinn - JK Nomme Kalju II1.973.37%
WINCartagines - Herediano2.113.37%
WINSlovan Liberec - Hradec Kralove1.903.37%
LOSSEintracht Frankfurt (W) - PSG (W)2.133.37%
WINBoca Juniors - Lanus1.753.37%
WINStockport - Wycombe2.023.37%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Sutton Utd - Wealdstone11.993.37%31 Aug 16:00
QPR - Cardiff11.923.37%02 Sep 20:45
Pick
1 @ 1.88
Kickoff
Set 02, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Starts in 1d 23h
Updated
Updated 3h 44m ago
Torna in alto