SC Jaragua – Guarani de Palhoca

Model: TipTromba12H

SC Jaragua vs Guarani de Palhoca

PREDICTION
1
@ 10.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 03, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 46d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.18% · n=48
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d 13h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SC Jaragua. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SC JaraguaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.00First seen
Current10.00Now
Max odds10.00Highest point
Min odds5.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SC JaraguaHOME
VS
Guarani de PalhocaAWAY
LLLLL
Recent form
WLWWL
Avg goals scored
0.20
1.00
Defensive weakness
5.20
1.80
Shots on target for
2.00
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
7.50
4.60
Home splitL-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 4.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-L0.75 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 10.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.18% based on n=48 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Catarinense 2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd10.00
V2 BandNONEROI -1.18% · n=48
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -17.9% 7D: 2.8% 15D: 19.4% 30D: 13.8%
Model insight

SC Jaragua – Guarani de Palhoca Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 10.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.18% across 48 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample29
Win Rate10.3%
Profit+1.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSMarlin Coast Rangers - Brunswick Juventus10.00-3.06%
LOSSFC Lok Leipzig - Hertha Berlin10.00-0.48%
LOSSFC Edinburgh - Falkirk10.00-1.18%
LOSSSV Kematen - SC Imst10.00-3.06%
LOSSKuala Lumpur City U20 - Selangor FA U2010.00-0.48%
LOSSMold Alexandra - Airbus UK10.00-0.48%
LOSSHallescher FC - Gornik Zabrze10.00-3.06%
LOSSOyama SC - Cobaltore Onagawa10.00-3.06%
Pick
1 @ 10.00
Kickoff
Giu 03, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.18% • n=48
Start
Started 46d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 47d 13h ago
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