Seacoast United Phantoms – AC Connecticut

Model: TipTromba2H

Seacoast United Phantoms vs AC Connecticut

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 12, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 8h 25m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Seacoast United Phantoms. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Seacoast United Phantoms

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

13/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.60First seen
Current1.60Now
Max odds1.60Highest point
Min odds1.60Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Seacoast United PhantomsHOME
VS
AC ConnecticutAWAY
LDWLW
Recent form
WLWLL
Avg goals scored
2.20
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.00
Shots on target for
9.60
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.80
8.20
Home splitL-L-W-L-L0.80 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-L0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.60. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL League Two (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.60
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a clear favorite, although the recent form gap is not as dominant as the price might imply. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Seacoast United Phantoms's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 128.1% 7D: 24.4% 15D: 38.6% 30D: 15.3%
Model insight

Seacoast United Phantoms – AC Connecticut Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.60. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample370
Win Rate65.7%
Profit+20.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
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LOSSPort Melbourne U23 - North Sunshine Eagles U231.60-1.89%
Pick
1 @ 1.60
Kickoff
Lug 12, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Started 8h 25m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 8h ago
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