Model: TIPPSH

Shanghai Port vs Beijing Guoan

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusUpcoming

KickoffSet 05, 2026 3:35 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 16h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.15% · n=323

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 12m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Shanghai Port. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Shanghai PortGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.054 | A: 0.148

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.28First seen

Current2.30Now

Max odds2.30Highest point

Min odds2.28Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Shanghai PortHOME

Beijing GuoanAWAY

WWWDW

Recent form

WDDWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

2.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

5.00

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

5.00

Home splitW-D-L-W-D1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitD-W-W-D-W2.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.30. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Super League (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.30

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.15% · n=323

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 9.5% 7D: 3.1% 15D: 17.4% 30D: 6.8%

Model insight

Shanghai Port – Beijing Guoan Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.15% across 323 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample278

Win Rate42.4%

Profit-10.34u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Albion FC Reserves - Cerro Largo Reserves	2.30	2.49%
WIN	Central Espanol Reserves - Club Atletico Progreso Reserves	2.51	2.49%
LOSS	Yate Town - Taunton Town	2.25	3.15%
LOSS	Rushall Olympic - Alvechurch	2.39	2.49%
LOSS	FSC Eggendorf Hartberg II - SV Allerheiligen	2.30	2.49%
LOSS	BDF XI - Nico United	2.53	3.15%
WIN	Dinthar FC - Kanan FC	2.29	2.49%
WIN	Hapoel Rishon Lezion - SC Kfar Qasim	2.20	3.37%

Active Similar Predictions

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Maccabi Petah Tikva - Ironi Tiberias	1	2.38	2.49%	05 Sep 19:00

Pick

1 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Set 05, 2026 3:35 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.15% • n=323

Start

Starts in 3d 16h

Updated

Updated 12m ago