Model: TIPPSH
Shimizu S-Pulse – V-Varen Nagasaki
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.99
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 29, 2026 8:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 27d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 28d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Shimizu S-Pulse | V-Varen Nagasaki |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-W-L | W-D-L-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | L-L (home) | W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded | 0.67 scored / 1.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.40 for / 3.80 against | 2.20 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 2.67 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current1.99Now
Max odds2.40Highest point
Min odds1.99Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Shimizu S-Pulse – V-Varen Nagasaki Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample313
Win Rate49.5%
Profit-11.71u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.99
Kickoff
Apr 29, 2026 8:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 27d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 28d 3h ago