Siarka Tarnobrzeg – KSZO Ostrowiec

Model: TipTromba6H

Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs KSZO Ostrowiec

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 69d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.81% · n=109
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.81% · n=109
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 70d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Siarka Tarnobrzeg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Siarka Tarnobrzeg

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

64/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.00First seen
Current5.27Now
Max odds5.27Highest point
Min odds5.00Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Siarka TarnobrzegHOME
VS
KSZO OstrowiecAWAY
LDDDD
Recent form
WDWDW
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.60
Shots on target for
3.33
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.67
3.75
Home splitL-D-D0.67 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W1.50 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.81% based on n=109 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland III Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.00
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.81% · n=109
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.81% · n=109
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -25.2% 7D: -4.8% 15D: -3.9% 30D: 9.6%
Model insight

Siarka Tarnobrzeg – KSZO Ostrowiec Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.81% and 4.81%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample23
Win Rate26.1%
Profit+7.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBayern Munich II - Legia Warsaw5.002.22%
WINErdi VSE - Kaposvari Rakoczi5.004.81%
WINUniversitario De Vinto - Bolivar5.253.63%
LOSSBox Hill United - Brunswick Juventus5.004.81%
LOSSMunicipal Perez Zeledon U21 - Alajuelense U215.004.81%
LOSSFK Zalgiris Vilnius (W) - MFA Zalgiris (W)5.004.81%
LOSSBK Fremad Valby (W) - BSF (W)5.004.81%
WINSouthside Eagles - Souths United5.004.81%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
First Vienna FC 1894 - QPR15.002.22%11 Jul 18:30
Pick
1 @ 5.00
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.81% • n=109
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.81% • n=109
Start
Started 69d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 70d 15h ago
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