South Melbourne – Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Model: TipTromba7H

South Melbourne vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 6.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 1:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 4
StartStarted 54d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.26% · n=27
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 58d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is South Melbourne. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: South Melbourne

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.33First seen
Current6.00Now
Max odds6.00Highest point
Min odds4.33Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

South MelbourneHOME
VS
Caroline Springs George Cross FCAWAY
LWWLW
Recent form
WLLDL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.60
2.60
Shots on target for
3.60
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
6.80
Home splitL-W-W-L-L2.00 scored / 2.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-D-D2.00 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 6.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.26% based on n=27 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia NPL Victoria (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd6.00
V2 BandNONEROI -1.26% · n=27
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 29.9% 7D: 17.7% 15D: -5.2% 30D: -1.5%
Model insight

South Melbourne – Caroline Springs George Cross FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 6.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba7H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.26% across 27 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample8
Win Rate25.0%
Profit+4.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSV Horn - St Polten6.00-2.20%
WINManitou FC (W) - Minnesota Bliss (W)6.00-2.20%
LOSSSydney Olympic - Rockdale Ilinden FC6.00-0.85%
LOSSVirgen de Chijipata - Deportivo FATIC6.00-0.85%
LOSSVänersborgs IF - Husqvarna FF6.00-0.85%
WINMauaense (W) - Itacoatiara (W)6.25-4.74%
LOSSLokomotiv Tbilisi - Wit Georgia6.00-0.91%
Pick
1 @ 6.00
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 1:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.26% • n=27
Start
Started 54d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 58d 17h ago
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