Sport Extremadura (W) – Cacereno (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Sport Extremadura (W) vs Cacereno (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 09, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 3
StartStarted 8h 7m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.00% · n=35
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.00% · n=35
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10h 17m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sport Extremadura (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sport Extremadura (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.80Now
Max odds3.10Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sport Extremadura (W)HOME
VS
Cacereno (W)AWAY
D
Recent form
N/A
Avg goals scored
3.00
N/A
Defensive weakness
3.00
N/A
Shots on target for
4.00
N/A
SoT conceded pressure
8.00
N/A
Home splitD3.00 scored / 3.00 conceded
Away splitN/AN/A scored / N/A conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.80. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.00% based on n=35 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Copa De La Reina (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.80
V2 BandNONEROI -1.00% · n=35
V4 BandNONEROI -1.00% · n=35
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 5.5% 7D: 6.1% 15D: 5.0% 30D: 5.1%
Model insight

Sport Extremadura (W) – Cacereno (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.00% and -1.00%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample71
Win Rate32.4%
Profit-6.04u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSVolgar G Astrakhan - FK Volga Ulyanovsk2.93-2.37%
WINCurico Unido - Union Espanola2.93-2.37%
LOSSFardu Ferghana - FK Orol Nukus2.84-2.37%
WINBandeirante - Uniao Sao Joao2.75-2.37%
WINStockport U21 - Stoke U213.00-2.37%
WINCharlton U21 - Leeds U212.75-2.37%
LOSSACS Sepsi - CFR Cluj2.90-2.37%
WINLondon City Lionesses (W) - Man Utd (W)3.01-1.00%
Pick
1 @ 2.80
Kickoff
Set 09, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.00% • n=35
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.00% • n=35
Start
Started 8h 7m ago
Updated
Updated 10h 17m ago
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