Model: TipTrombaGt15H

Sportfreunde Baumberg vs Bayer Leverkusen

PREDICTION

@ 41.00

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 18, 2026 5:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 16h 47m

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.00% · n=20

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sportfreunde Baumberg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sportfreunde Baumberg

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

44/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds101.00First seen

Current41.00Now

Max odds101.00Highest point

Min odds41.00Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sportfreunde BaumbergHOME

Bayer LeverkusenAWAY

LWWDW

Recent form

DLWWL

Avg goals scored

2.60

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.60

Shots on target for

N/A

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

N/A

8.20

Home splitW-W-D-L2.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitL-W-W1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 41.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.00% based on n=20 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd41.00

V2 BandNONEROI -1.00% · n=20

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -9.8% 7D: -14.4% 15D: -3.2% 30D: 15.8%

Model insight

Sportfreunde Baumberg – Bayer Leverkusen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 41.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTrombaGt15H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.00% across 20 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample2

Win Rate50.0%

Profit+39.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Holland Park Hawks U23 - Redlands United U23	41.00	-0.89%
LOSS	Sao Jose SP (W) - Bragantino (W)	41.00	-0.89%

Pick

1 @ 41.00

Kickoff

Lug 18, 2026 5:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -1.00% • n=20

Start

Starts in 16h 47m

Updated

Updated 16m ago