Sporting Cristal – Bragantino

Model: TipTromba35H

Sporting Cristal vs Bragantino

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.47
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 23, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 4h 43m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 46m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sporting Cristal. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sporting CristalGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.041 | A: 0.102

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

53/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.51First seen
Current3.54Now
Max odds3.64Highest point
Min odds3.49Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sporting CristalHOME
VS
BragantinoAWAY
WDWWD
Recent form
DWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.20
Defensive weakness
0.60
0.60
Shots on target for
4.80
5.60
SoT conceded pressure
2.40
3.80
Home splitW-D-W-W-L1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitD-W-D-L-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.47. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Copa Sudamericana. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.47
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 5.9% 7D: 31.3% 15D: 22.4% 30D: 22.2%
Model insight

Sporting Cristal – Bragantino Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.47. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample105
Win Rate27.6%
Profit-8.47u
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Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
1 @ 3.47
Kickoff
Lug 23, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Starts in 4h 43m
Updated
Updated 46m ago
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