Model: TipTromba45H

Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves vs Sportivo Luqueno Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 4.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 18, 2026 3:30 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 2

StartStarted 53d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.80% · n=133

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.80% · n=133

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 54d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

49/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds4.20First seen

Current4.40Now

Max odds4.41Highest point

Min odds4.20Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Sportivo San Lorenzo ReservesHOME

Sportivo Luqueno ReservesAWAY

LLWLL

Recent form

WLLWL

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.60

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.80

Shots on target for

4.60

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

6.20

Home splitL-L-W-L-L0.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L2.00 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.80% based on n=133 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Reserve League (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.20

V2 BandLOWROI 1.80% · n=133

V4 BandLOWROI 1.80% · n=133

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.4% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 7.0% 30D: 1.1%

Model insight

Sportivo San Lorenzo Reserves – Sportivo Luqueno Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba45H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.80% and 1.80%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample25

Win Rate44.0%

Profit+20.16u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Byåsen - Melhus	4.33	0.68%
LOSS	Fish United - NoPS	4.10	1.80%
WIN	Maties FC - Grassy Park United	4.00	1.80%
LOSS	SJK-j - FC Kiisto	4.00	1.80%
LOSS	Canuelas FC Reserves - Yupanqui Reserves	4.00	1.21%
WIN	VJS Vantaa - FF Jaro	4.10	1.80%
WIN	AS Binah - ASKO Kara	4.33	1.72%
LOSS	ATUS Ferlach - SV Donau Klagenfurt	4.20	1.80%

Pick

1 @ 4.20

Kickoff

Mag 18, 2026 3:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.80% • n=133

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.80% • n=133

Start

Started 53d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 54d 1h ago