Model: TipTromba5H
Sportivo Trinidense Reserves – Deportivo Recoleta Reserves
PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 12d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Sportivo Trinidense Reserves | Deportivo Recoleta Reserves |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-L-W | W-L-L-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-W-W-L (home) | W-L-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.40 scored / 1.60 conceded | 1.50 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 4.80 against | 3.20 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 4.75 against (home) | 3.00 for / 5.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sportivo Trinidense Reserves's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.75First seen
Current4.52Now
Max odds4.75Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Sportivo Trinidense Reserves – Deportivo Recoleta Reserves Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.71% and 3.71%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate8.0%
Profit-16.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Bangkok (W) - Chonburi FA (W) | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Boston City FC - Boston Bolts | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Internacional de Bogota (W) - America de Cali (W) | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Hubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U20 | 4.75 | 3.53% |
| LOSS | US Amal Tiznit - Difaa El Jadida | 4.50 | 3.71% |
| LOSS | Throttur Reykjavik - Breidablik | 4.50 | 3.87% |
| LOSS | Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra | 4.50 | 2.22% |
| LOSS | PR San Juan - Puerto Rico Surf SC | 4.50 | 3.87% |
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.71% • n=106
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.71% • n=106
Start
Started 12d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 12d 10h ago