Model: TipTromba3H
Stade de Mbour – US Ouakam
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 30d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.50% · n=493
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Stade de Mbour | US Ouakam |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-D | D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| Home/Away form | D-D (home) | D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 0.00 conceded | 0.00 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.33 for / 1.33 against | 1.67 for / 3.67 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 1.50 against (home) | 0.50 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Stade de Mbour has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.44First seen
Current2.75Now
Max odds3.44Highest point
Min odds2.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Stade de Mbour – US Ouakam Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.50% across 493 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample118
Win Rate38.1%
Profit+1.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Azuriz FC - Blumenau EC | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Laferrere - Atletico Camioneros | 2.60 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Oyonesa - Varea | 2.63 | 2.50% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Austin FC II - St Louis City II | 2.55 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Shandong (W) | 2.88 | 4.12% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
Pick
1 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.50% • n=493
Start
Started 30d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 2h ago