Stockport vs Preston
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Preston. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: PrestonGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.128 | A: -0.104Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.20. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.75% based on n=380 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Preston is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Stockport – Preston Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Ruthin Town FC - Holyhead Hotspur | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | SV Leobendorf - Parndorf | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Burgan SC - Al-Jazeera KWT | 2.15 | 3.75% |
| WIN | Pachuca U19 (W) - Toluca U19 (W) | 2.30 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Dominican Republic (W) - El Salvador (W) | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | AB Copenhagen - FC Fredericia | 2.30 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Lokomotiv Oslo - KFUM 2 | 2.10 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | America SP U23 - Itaquaquecetuba U23 | 2.30 | 4.27% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATSV Wolfsberg - Wolfsberger AC | 2 | 2.15 | 3.75% | 31 Jul 19:00 |
| Cove Rangers - Airdrieonians | 2 | 2.25 | 4.27% | 01 Aug 16:00 |
| Al Nejmeh - Al Ansar Beirut | 2 | 2.30 | 4.27% | 01 Aug 20:30 |
| IFK Berga - IFK Trelleborg | 2 | 2.35 | 4.27% | 02 Aug 15:00 |
| FC Vsetin - Sigma Olomouc B | 2 | 2.10 | 3.75% | 02 Aug 17:00 |