Model: TipTromba3H
Strømsgodset 2 – Fauske/Sprint
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 3
StartStarted 30d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.50% · n=493
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 30d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Strømsgodset 2 | Fauske/Sprint |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-W-L | D-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.75 | 2.25 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-L (home) | D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.67 scored / 2.00 conceded | 3.00 scored / 2.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 10.33 for / 5.00 against | 6.00 for / 8.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 10.50 for / 4.00 against (home) | 6.00 for / 8.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market prices Strømsgodset 2 as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Strømsgodset 2's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.20First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Strømsgodset 2 – Fauske/Sprint Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.50% across 493 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample95
Win Rate37.9%
Profit-1.23u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Laferrere - Atletico Camioneros | 2.60 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Oyonesa - Varea | 2.63 | 2.50% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Austin FC II - St Louis City II | 2.55 | 2.06% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
| WIN | FC Raengdai - Chhaygaon FC | 2.50 | 2.06% |
| LOSS | Kayserispor U19 - Konyaspor U19 | 2.50 | 2.50% |
Pick
1 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.50% • n=493
Start
Started 30d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 30d 21h ago