Model: TIPPSH
Tepatitlan FC – Jaiba Brava
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.94
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 5:00 AM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 9d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Tepatitlan FC | Jaiba Brava |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-D-D-W | L-D-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-W-W (home) | L-D-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.50 scored / 0.25 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 1.40 against | 1.60 for / 5.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 2.25 against (home) | 2.50 for / 7.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Tepatitlan FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Model insight
Tepatitlan FC – Jaiba Brava Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.94. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample296
Win Rate50.0%
Profit-10.21u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Imisli - FK Karvan | 1.80 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kalmar FF - Degerfors | 1.95 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.94
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 5:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 9d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 22h ago