Toluca vs Seattle Sounders
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Toluca. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: TolucaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.087 | A: -0.118Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Leagues Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Toluca has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Toluca – Seattle Sounders Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Cerro Porteno Reserves - Sportivo Luqueno Reserves | 1.62 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Itaquaquecetuba U23 - America SP U23 | 1.67 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Penarol (W) - Defensor Sporting (W) | 1.60 | -1.89% |
| WIN | AD Sarchi - AD Cofutpa | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Mighty Wanderers - Blue Eagles | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Shanghai Port U20 - Henan U20 | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | Athletic Bilbao (W) - Deportivo La Coruna (W) | 1.70 | -3.82% |
| WIN | FC Milsami - FC Real Sireti | 1.57 | -3.82% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Zeleznicar Pancevo - Mladost Lucani | 1 | 1.60 | -3.38% | 01 Aug 18:00 |
| Real Potosi - GV San Jose | 1 | 1.50 | -1.89% | 02 Aug 21:00 |
| Viimsi JK - JK Tallinna Kalev | 1 | 1.67 | -1.89% | 03 Aug 18:00 |
| Brodd - Stabaek 2 | 1 | 1.70 | -1.89% | 03 Aug 18:00 |