Toronto FC II – New York Red Bulls II

Model: TIPPSA

Toronto FC II – New York Red Bulls II

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 18d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 23h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Toronto FC II New York Red Bulls II
Last 5 form L-L-W-W-D W-W-W-W-W
Avg goals scored 1.40 2.60
Avg goals conceded 2.20 1.00
Home/Away form L-W-W-D (home) W-W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.75 scored / 1.50 conceded 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 4.80 for / 6.00 against 6.00 for / 5.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 5.00 for / 4.50 against (home) 5.00 for / 6.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors New York Red Bulls II. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. New York Red Bulls II has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current2.01Now
Max odds2.01Highest point
Min odds1.76Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Toronto FC II – New York Red Bulls II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample73
Win Rate45.2%
Profit-3.06u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
LOSSGlasgow City (W) - Rangers (W)2.052.63%
LOSSLobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves2.182.63%
LOSSRadnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka2.182.63%
LOSSADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W)2.254.13%
LOSSAFC Hermannstadt - FCSB2.263.31%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Breidablik2.164.31%
LOSSParnu JK Vaprus II - JK Trans Narva II2.044.31%
Pick
2 @ 2.01
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=177
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=177
Start
Started 18d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 23h ago
Torna in alto