Model: TIPPSA
Toronto FC II – New York Red Bulls II
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.01
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 32d 18h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Toronto FC II | New York Red Bulls II |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-W-D | W-W-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-D (home) | W-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.75 scored / 1.50 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.80 for / 6.00 against | 6.00 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 4.50 against (home) | 5.00 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors New York Red Bulls II. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to New York Red Bulls II's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -33.5%
7D: -14.0%
15D: -8.3%
30D: 5.3%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.76First seen
Current2.01Now
Max odds2.01Highest point
Min odds1.76Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Toronto FC II – New York Red Bulls II Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.01. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample76
Win Rate44.7%
Profit-4.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Santa Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U23 | 2.01 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2.25 | 3.59% |
| LOSS | Chrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz | 2.19 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | SC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva | 2.25 | 3.43% |
| LOSS | Glasgow City (W) - Rangers (W) | 2.05 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Lobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | Radnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka | 2.18 | 2.63% |
| LOSS | ADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W) | 2.25 | 4.13% |
Pick
2 @ 2.01
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=177
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=177
Start
Started 32d 18h ago
Updated
Updated 33d ago