Model: TIPPSH
Treze – Lagarto
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 12:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 2d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Treze | Lagarto |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-W-D | W-D-D-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-D-W-W (home) | W-D-D-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 0.80 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.80 for / 2.60 against | 3.40 for / 4.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.80 for / 2.20 against (home) | 3.60 for / 5.40 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Treze showing a clearer performance edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 16.2%
7D: 10.0%
15D: 23.7%
30D: 8.7%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.55First seen
Current1.63Now
Max odds1.81Highest point
Min odds1.55Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Treze – Lagarto Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.63. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample85
Win Rate58.8%
Profit-1.10u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Canada - Uzbekistan | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | KH Hlidarendi - FC Arbaer | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Ostersunds FK - Orebro SK | 1.72 | -7.35% |
| WIN | JK Trans Narva II - Tabasalu FC Charma | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | FC Cascavel - Sao Luiz | 1.63 | -9.21% |
| WIN | El Masry - ZED FC | 1.64 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Montreal Roses FC (W) - Vancouver Rise FC (W) | 1.70 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Odd BK - Lyn 1896 | 1.68 | -7.35% |
Pick
1 @ 1.63
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 12:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970
Start
Started 2d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 23h ago