Truro City – Exeter

Model: TipTromba5H

Truro City vs Exeter

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 18, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 21h 16m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.05% · n=66
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.05% · n=66
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Truro City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Truro City

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Truro CityHOME
VS
ExeterAWAY
WWLLD
Recent form
LDDDW
Avg goals scored
1.60
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.60
Shots on target for
2.40
4.20
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
6.60
Home splitL-D0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-L1.00 scored / 1.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.05% based on n=66 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UK Friendlies (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.05% · n=66
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.05% · n=66
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 8.0% 7D: -1.0% 15D: -1.1% 30D: 17.3%
Model insight

Truro City – Exeter Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.05% and 4.05%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate10.7%
Profit-14.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBoreham Wood - Watford4.753.53%
LOSSSutton Coldfield - Leamington4.504.05%
LOSSPinda FC U20 - Taubate U204.504.05%
WINBangkok (W) - Chonburi FA (W)4.504.05%
LOSSBoston City FC - Boston Bolts4.504.05%
LOSSInternacional de Bogota (W) - America de Cali (W)4.504.05%
LOSSHubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U204.753.53%
LOSSUS Amal Tiznit - Difaa El Jadida4.503.71%
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Lug 18, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.05% • n=66
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.05% • n=66
Start
Starts in 21h 16m
Updated
Updated 5m ago
Torna in alto