Model: TIPPSH

UD Leiria vs SC Farense

PREDICTION

@ 1.74

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 03, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 3

StartStarted 69d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 69d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is UD Leiria. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: UD Leiria

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

4/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.98First seen

Current1.74Now

Max odds2.10Highest point

Min odds1.74Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UD LeiriaHOME

SC FarenseAWAY

LLWDD

Recent form

WDWWL

Avg goals scored

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

0.40

Shots on target for

6.00

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

4.80

Home splitL-W-D1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded

Away splitW-W2.50 scored / 0.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.74. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.74

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. UD Leiria is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -24.1% 7D: -0.8% 15D: 2.0% 30D: 14.4%

Model insight

UD Leiria – SC Farense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.74. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 1.74

Kickoff

Mag 03, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 69d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 69d 14h ago