Model: TIPPSH
UD Leiria – SC Farense
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.98
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 3
StartStarted 23d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | UD Leiria | SC Farense |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-W-D-D | W-D-W-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-D (home) | W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded | 2.50 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 4.20 against | 3.40 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.33 for / 3.00 against (home) | 4.50 for / 6.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. UD Leiria is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Model insight
UD Leiria – SC Farense Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.98. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample310
Win Rate49.7%
Profit-10.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | South Melbourne - Auckland FC II | 1.84 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Jadran Dekani - NK Krka | 1.91 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | North Sunshine Eagles - Langwarrin | 1.75 | 3.37% |
| LOSS | CFR Cluj - FC Arges Pitesti | 1.85 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.98
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 23d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 11h ago