Ulfarnir – KFR Hvolsvöllur

Model: TIPPSA

Ulfarnir vs KFR Hvolsvöllur

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.32
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 21, 2026 12:15 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 9m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 29m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KFR Hvolsvöllur. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KFR HvolsvöllurGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.098 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

31/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.12First seen
Current2.34Now
Max odds2.75Highest point
Min odds2.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

UlfarnirHOME
VS
KFR HvolsvöllurAWAY
LDLWD
Recent form
WDLLL
Avg goals scored
2.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
3.80
3.60
Shots on target for
4.80
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
8.80
4.80
Home splitD-W-D-D-L3.40 scored / 2.20 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-D1.80 scored / 4.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.32. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.84% based on n=717 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland 4 Deild (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.32
V2 BandLOWROI 0.84% · n=717
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 67.3% 7D: 4.6% 15D: 4.7% 30D: 4.4%
Model insight

Ulfarnir – KFR Hvolsvöllur Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.32. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.84% across 717 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample121
Win Rate42.1%
Profit-5.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINXorazm Urganch - Lokomotiv Tashkent2.440.84%
LOSSOFI Crete - CSKA Sofia2.540.84%
LOSSLeioa - Portugalete2.111.76%
WINAjax Reserves - FC Emmen2.500.84%
LOSSHapoel Ramat Gan - Beitar Jerusalem2.330.84%
LOSSMolde 2 - Rosenborg 22.091.76%
LOSSDeportes Iquique - CD Antofagasta2.570.84%
LOSSSK Beveren - Anderlecht2.360.84%
Pick
2 @ 2.32
Kickoff
Ago 21, 2026 12:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.84% • n=717
Start
Starts in 9m
Updated
Updated 2h 29m ago
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