Model: TipA1
Umeå FC – Karlbergs BK
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 23d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.37% · n=226
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.37% · n=226
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 25d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Umeå FC | Karlbergs BK |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L-W | L-W-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-L (home) | L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.20 for / 5.60 against | 6.00 for / 5.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.00 for / 4.00 against (home) | 5.67 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Karlbergs BK shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Karlbergs BK is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.16First seen
Current2.99Now
Max odds3.16Highest point
Min odds2.91Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Umeå FC – Karlbergs BK Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 12.37% and 12.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample14
Win Rate42.9%
Profit+2.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Gremio Novorizontino U20 - Goias U20 | 3.00 | 12.47% |
| WIN | Orsomarso (W) - Internacional de Bogota (W) | 3.00 | 12.37% |
| LOSS | HPS - Atlantis | 2.75 | 12.37% |
| LOSS | OKS Swit Skolwin - Slask Wroclaw II | 2.55 | 11.72% |
| WIN | Santos (W) - Bragantino (W) | 2.60 | 11.72% |
| WIN | EL Nacional (W) - Quito FC (W) | 2.55 | 11.72% |
| WIN | RKVV DEM U21 - Koninklijke HFC U21 | 2.80 | 12.37% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC - Toluca | 3.00 | 12.37% |
Pick
2 @ 2.80
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 12.37% • n=226
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
12.37% • n=226
Start
Started 23d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 25d ago