Upper Hutt City – Miramar Rangers

Model: TipTromba6H

Upper Hutt City vs Miramar Rangers

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 7:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 44d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.42% · n=11
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.42% · n=11
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Upper Hutt City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Upper Hutt CityGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

49/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds5.75First seen
Current6.22Now
Max odds6.33Highest point
Min odds5.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Upper Hutt CityHOME
VS
Miramar RangersAWAY
LWWWL
Recent form
WWDWL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
6.80
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
6.40
Home splitL-W-W-L-L1.40 scored / 2.60 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-L-W1.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.75. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.42% based on n=11 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Central League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.75
V2 BandLOWROI 0.42% · n=11
V4 BandLOWROI 0.42% · n=11
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Upper Hutt City has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 12.3% 7D: -4.8% 15D: -5.0% 30D: 9.6%
Model insight

Upper Hutt City – Miramar Rangers Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 0.42% and 0.42%. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate40.0%
Profit+12.00u
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Pick
1 @ 5.75
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 7:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 0.42% • n=11
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
0.42% • n=11
Start
Started 44d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 18h ago
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