Model: TIPPSH
Valencia – Girona
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.38
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 31d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 7h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Valencia | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-D-L-L | L-L-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Home/Away form | W-L (home) | L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.50 for / 4.50 against | 2.25 for / 3.75 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.50 for / 4.00 against (home) | 2.50 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Valencia has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.38Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Valencia – Girona Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample63
Win Rate39.7%
Profit-2.72u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rouen - Laval | 2.29 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Aarau - Grasshoppers | 2.46 | -0.42% |
| WIN | Greuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2.59 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Padova U19 - Venezia U19 | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| WIN | Sport Boys - Cusco FC | 2.36 | -1.54% |
| WIN | FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 2.50 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | St Gallen - FC Thun | 2.25 | -1.54% |
Pick
1 @ 2.38
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 31d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 7h ago