Valenciennes vs Boulogne
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Valenciennes. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: ValenciennesGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.039 | A: 0.065Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.10% based on n=135 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Valenciennes has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Valenciennes – Boulogne Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Grimsby - Lincoln City | 5.25 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) - APLG Gdansk (W) | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | Shandong B (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W) | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | FC Deisenhofen - 1860 Munich | 5.25 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | Boston Utd - Lincoln City | 5.25 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | FK Humenne - FC Kosice | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | KFG Gardabaer - UMF Selfoss | 5.00 | 7.10% |
| LOSS | Alloa - Livingston | 5.00 | 7.10% |