Valur Reykjavik – KR Reykjavik

Model: TIPPSA

Valur Reykjavik vs KR Reykjavik

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.21
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultWIN1 - 4
StartStarted 69d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 69d 17h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KR Reykjavik. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KR Reykjavik

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

42/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.96First seen
Current2.36Now
Max odds2.39Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Valur ReykjavikHOME
VS
KR ReykjavikAWAY
LWWWL
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
2.20
4.40
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.80
Shots on target for
3.50
10.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.25
4.20
Home splitL-W-W-L1.75 scored / 1.75 conceded
Away splitW-W5.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.21. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.31% based on n=177 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.21
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=177
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.31% · n=177
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. KR Reykjavik has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -12.1% 7D: -8.6% 15D: -2.5% 30D: 9.9%
Model insight

Valur Reykjavik – KR Reykjavik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample137
Win Rate44.5%
Profit-1.27u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
LOSSVotoraty U23 - Guarulhos U232.082.63%
LOSSVidar - Pors Grenland2.082.63%
WINSanta Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U232.012.63%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
LOSSChrobry Glogow - LKS Lodz2.192.63%
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
Pick
2 @ 2.21
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=177
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=177
Start
Started 69d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 69d 17h ago
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