Valur Reykjavik – KR Reykjavik

Model: TIPPSA

Valur Reykjavik – KR Reykjavik

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.21
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultWIN1 - 4
StartStarted 24d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.31% · n=177
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 16h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Valur Reykjavik KR Reykjavik
Last 5 form L-W-W-W-L W-W-W-W-W
Avg goals scored 2.20 4.40
Avg goals conceded 1.80 1.80
Home/Away form L-W-W-L (home) W-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.75 scored / 1.75 conceded 5.00 scored / 1.50 conceded
Shots on target 3.50 for / 5.25 against 10.20 for / 4.20 against
Home/Away shots on target 2.67 for / 4.00 against (home) 9.00 for / 3.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. KR Reykjavik has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.96First seen
Current2.36Now
Max odds2.39Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Valur Reykjavik – KR Reykjavik Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.31% and 4.31%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample130
Win Rate45.4%
Profit+1.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
LOSSGlasgow City (W) - Rangers (W)2.052.63%
LOSSLobos UPNFM Reserves - CD Marathon Reserves2.182.63%
LOSSRadnik Bijeljina - Borac Banja Luka2.182.63%
LOSSADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W)2.254.13%
LOSSAFC Hermannstadt - FCSB2.263.31%
LOSSKasimpasa - Galatasaray2.273.31%
LOSSValur Reykjavik - Breidablik2.164.31%
Pick
2 @ 2.21
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.31% • n=177
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.31% • n=177
Start
Started 24d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 16h ago
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