Varnsdorf – FK Usti nad Labem

Model: TipTromba6H

Varnsdorf vs FK Usti nad Labem

PREDICTION
1
@ 5.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 25, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 6h 49m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=22
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.76% · n=22
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23h 42m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Varnsdorf. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: VarnsdorfGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.038 | A: 0.074

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds6.00First seen
Current6.43Now
Max odds6.49Highest point
Min odds5.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

VarnsdorfHOME
VS
FK Usti nad LabemAWAY
DLDWW
Recent form
DWDWD
Avg goals scored
1.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
0.80
Shots on target for
5.80
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
4.00
Home splitD-W-L-W-W1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-W-L1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.76% based on n=22 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Czechia Cup (cz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd5.75
V2 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=22
V4 BandNONEROI -1.76% · n=22
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices Varnsdorf as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 39.6% 7D: 30.3% 15D: 6.0% 30D: 7.1%
Model insight

Varnsdorf – FK Usti nad Labem Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 5.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba6H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.76% and -1.76%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-10.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSJohor Darul Takzim - Chelsea5.75-1.76%
LOSSVasco da Gama (W) - Sao Paulo (W)5.75-1.76%
LOSSFarnborough - Reading5.75-1.76%
LOSSNorthern Tigers FC (W) - University NSW (W)5.75-1.76%
LOSSUniao Sao Joao EC U20 - Gremio Novorizontino U205.75-1.76%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta (W) - Santiago Wanderers (W)5.75-1.00%
LOSSNingxia Pingluo Hengli - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue5.75-1.00%
LOSSSC Zulimanit - NiemU5.75-1.00%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Skövde AIK - Halmstad15.75-1.76%26 Aug 18:30
Pick
1 @ 5.75
Kickoff
Ago 25, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.76% • n=22
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.76% • n=22
Start
Started 6h 49m ago
Updated
Updated 23h 42m ago
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