Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce EC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Valeriodoce EC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Valeriodoce ECValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.27. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 9.91% based on n=90 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Valeriodoce EC. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Valeriodoce EC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Villa Nova – Valeriodoce EC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Westerlo - KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk | 3.34 | 4.77% |
| WIN | Ansan Greeners FC - Jinju Citizen FC | 3.52 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Lincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes | 3.30 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Dodoma Jiji FC - JKT Tanzania | 3.05 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Ghana - Panama | 3.35 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Australia (W) - Mexico (W) | 3.44 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Egypt - Russia | 3.27 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Cluj - Farul Constanta | 2 | 3.50 | 3.84% | 19 Jul 16:00 |