Model: TipA1

Villarreal (W) vs Osasuna (W)

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 17, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultLOSS3 - 1

StartStarted 55d 4h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.17% · n=529

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Osasuna (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Osasuna (W)

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.70First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds2.70Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Villarreal (W)HOME

Osasuna (W)AWAY

WWDDD

Recent form

LLDLL

Avg goals scored

1.60

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.80

Shots on target for

4.50

5.33

SoT conceded pressure

5.25

4.00

Home splitW-D2.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Away splitL-L0.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.17% based on n=529 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Primera Federacion Women (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.70

V2 BandLOWROI 1.17% · n=529

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 7.4% 7D: 15.0% 15D: 1.8% 30D: -0.3%

Model insight

Villarreal (W) – Osasuna (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.17% across 529 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample84

Win Rate28.6%

Profit-20.01u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Anderlecht - NEC	2.88	0.48%
LOSS	AFC Rushden & Diamonds - Milton Keynes Irish	2.70	1.02%
LOSS	St George City FA U20 - University NSW U20	2.60	1.02%
LOSS	Santacruzense U23 - America SP U23	2.60	1.02%
LOSS	Dalvik/Reynir - Fjardabyggd	2.80	0.48%
LOSS	JK Viljandi Tulevik - JK Tammeka Tartu II	2.90	0.48%
LOSS	Rodelindo Roman - Deportes Rancagua	2.45	1.02%
LOSS	Hinna - Brodd	2.50	1.02%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Wyvern FC - Kariya	2	2.50	1.02%	12 Jul 11:00
Deportivo Moquegua - Deportivo Garcilaso	2	2.55	1.02%	12 Jul 20:00

Pick

2 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Mag 17, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.17% • n=529

Start

Started 55d 4h ago

Updated

Updated 56d 2h ago