Model: TIPPSH

VV Alkmaar (W) vs Heerenveen (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.66

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 03, 2026 2:15 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 5

StartStarted 78d 23h ago

V2 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 79d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is VV Alkmaar (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: VV Alkmaar (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (Min) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.56First seen

Current1.66Now

Max odds1.66Highest point

Min odds1.56Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

VV Alkmaar (W)HOME

Heerenveen (W)AWAY

LDD

Recent form

WLL

Avg goals scored

1.67

2.00

Defensive weakness

3.00

1.33

Shots on target for

7.00

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

7.67

7.33

Home splitL-D1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Away splitW-L3.00 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.66. The confidence profile is still limited for this specific model setup. The match belongs to Netherlands Eredivisie Women (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.66

V2 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. VV Alkmaar (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -16.1% 7D: -12.0% 15D: -4.7% 30D: 9.3%

Model insight

VV Alkmaar (W) – Heerenveen (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.66. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Pick

1 @ 1.66

Kickoff

Mag 03, 2026 2:15 PM

Confidence

CONF: ?

Start

Started 78d 23h ago

Updated

Updated 79d 14h ago