Wolfsburg vs Lyon
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Wolfsburg. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: WolfsburgGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.114 | A: -0.051Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 5.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.22% based on n=129 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Elite Club Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Wolfsburg's attacking profile.
Wolfsburg – Lyon Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Deisenhofen - 1860 Munich | 5.25 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | Boston Utd - Lincoln City | 5.25 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | Helmond Sport - AEK Larnaca | 5.50 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | Illawarra Stingrays (W) - Sydney University (W) | 5.50 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | University of Queensland - Newmarket | 5.50 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | Armadale U23 - Fremantle City FC U23 | 5.50 | 5.22% |
| LOSS | Cong An Ha Noi II - CLB Bong da Hue | 5.25 | 5.22% |
| WIN | Astra Ustronie Morskie - Iskierka Szczecin | 5.50 | 5.22% |