Model: TipTromba5H
Samger FC – Gambia Ports Authority
PREDICTION
1
@ 4.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 33d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.71% · n=106
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 19h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Samger FC | Gambia Ports Authority |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-W-L | D-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.50 | 0.33 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Home/Away form | D-L (home) | D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.00 for / 1.00 against | 2.33 for / 3.67 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 1.50 against (home) | 1.50 for / 2.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Samger FC. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.50First seen
Current4.50Now
Max odds4.67Highest point
Min odds4.50Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendStableShort term
Model insight
Samger FC – Gambia Ports Authority Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba5H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.71% and 3.71%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate8.0%
Profit-16.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Bangkok (W) - Chonburi FA (W) | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Boston City FC - Boston Bolts | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Internacional de Bogota (W) - America de Cali (W) | 4.50 | 4.05% |
| LOSS | Hubei Istar U20 - Shanghai Shenhua U20 | 4.75 | 3.53% |
| LOSS | US Amal Tiznit - Difaa El Jadida | 4.50 | 3.71% |
| LOSS | Throttur Reykjavik - Breidablik | 4.50 | 3.87% |
| LOSS | Polonia Nysa - Lechia Zielona Góra | 4.50 | 2.22% |
| LOSS | PR San Juan - Puerto Rico Surf SC | 4.50 | 3.87% |
Pick
1 @ 4.50
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.71% • n=106
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.71% • n=106
Start
Started 33d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 19h ago