Model: TIPPSH
Club Celaya – Cimarrones de Sonora FC
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.27
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 23, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 34d ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.54% · n=136
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 34d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Club Celaya | Cimarrones de Sonora FC |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-D | L-D-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.75 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-D (home) | L-D-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.67 scored / 0.67 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 9.00 for / 2.00 against | 2.33 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 11.50 for / 2.00 against (home) | 2.50 for / 7.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Club Celaya is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.25First seen
Current2.27Now
Max odds2.27Highest point
Min odds2.14Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Club Celaya – Cimarrones de Sonora FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.27. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.54% and -1.54%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample52
Win Rate40.4%
Profit-2.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rouen - Laval | 2.29 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Aarau - Grasshoppers | 2.46 | -0.42% |
| LOSS | F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Padova U19 - Venezia U19 | 2.38 | -1.54% |
| WIN | Sport Boys - Cusco FC | 2.36 | -1.54% |
| WIN | FC Osaka Speranza (W) - Renofa Yamaguchi (W) | 2.50 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | St Gallen - FC Thun | 2.25 | -1.54% |
| LOSS | Montana - Spartak Varna | 2.44 | -1.54% |
Pick
1 @ 2.27
Kickoff
Apr 23, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.54% • n=136
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.54% • n=136
Start
Started 34d ago
Updated
Updated 34d 3h ago