Model: TIPPSH
Montana – Spartak Varna
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.34
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 8d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.76% · n=13
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.76% · n=13
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 11d 22h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Montana | Spartak Varna |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-D-D-D | W-L-W-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-W-D-L (home) | W-L-L-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.40 for / 4.00 against | 4.00 for / 7.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.25 for / 2.75 against (home) | 1.75 for / 6.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current3.34Now
Max odds3.34Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Montana – Spartak Varna Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.76% and 6.76%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Pick
1 @ 3.34
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.76% • n=13
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.76% • n=13
Start
Started 8d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 11d 22h ago