Montana – Spartak Varna

Model: TIPPSH

Montana vs Spartak Varna

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.34
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 18, 2026 8:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 53d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.76% · n=13
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.76% · n=13
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 57d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Montana. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Montana

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current3.34Now
Max odds3.34Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MontanaHOME
VS
Spartak VarnaAWAY
LLDDD
Recent form
WLWDL
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
3.40
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
7.20
Home splitL-D-W-D-L0.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-L0.60 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.34. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.76% based on n=13 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.34
V2 BandHIGHROI 6.76% · n=13
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.76% · n=13
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 23.5% 7D: 21.1% 15D: -2.1% 30D: 0.2%
Model insight

Montana – Spartak Varna Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.34. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.76% and 6.76%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample2
Win Rate100.0%
Profit+4.54u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINFK Minija - Panevezys3.377.69%
WINTecnico Universitario - Barcelona Guayaquil3.177.96%
Pick
1 @ 3.34
Kickoff
Mag 18, 2026 8:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.76% • n=13
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.76% • n=13
Start
Started 53d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 57d 2h ago
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