Model: TipTromba4H
Hang Sai – Benfica Macau
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 4
StartStarted 32d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.06% · n=273
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.06% · n=273
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 33d 5h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Hang Sai | Benfica Macau |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-W | W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.00 | 1.50 |
| Home/Away form | L-D-W (home) | W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.00 scored / 3.00 conceded | 2.50 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.67 for / 6.00 against | 4.00 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.67 for / 6.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Hang Sai's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.70First seen
Current4.02Now
Max odds4.02Highest point
Min odds3.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Hang Sai – Benfica Macau Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.06% and 5.06%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample33
Win Rate30.3%
Profit+2.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | CA Metropolitano - Blumenau EC | 3.75 | 5.43% |
| LOSS | Inter Moengo Tapoe - Robin Hood FC | 3.80 | 5.43% |
| LOSS | Mineros - Deportivo Miranda FC | 3.50 | 5.06% |
| LOSS | Cockburn City Reserves - Joondalup City Reserves | 3.60 | 5.06% |
| WIN | University NSW - Rockdale Ilinden FC | 3.60 | 5.06% |
| WIN | CA Ituzaingo Reserves - Deportivo Laferrere Reserves | 3.50 | 5.06% |
| LOSS | Perolas Negras - America RJ | 3.50 | 5.06% |
| LOSS | Malmo FF (W) - IFK Goteborg (W) | 3.50 | 5.06% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kolding IF (W) - Fortuna Hjørring (W) | 1 | 3.75 | 5.43% | 28 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 3.70
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.06% • n=273
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.06% • n=273
Start
Started 32d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 33d 5h ago