Model: TipTromba4H

East Kilbride vs Dunfermline

PREDICTION

@ 3.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 11, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 0

StartStarted 21h 11m ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.43% · n=49

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.43% · n=49

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is East Kilbride. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: East Kilbride

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.94First seen

Current3.85Now

Max odds3.94Highest point

Min odds3.78Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

East KilbrideHOME

DunfermlineAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

LWWLL

Avg goals scored

3.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.00

1.60

Shots on target for

6.20

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

4.00

Home splitW-W-W-W-W3.60 scored / 0.20 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-L-L1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.75. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.43% based on n=49 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Scotland League Cup (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.75

V2 BandHIGHROI 5.43% · n=49

V4 BandHIGHROI 5.43% · n=49

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. East Kilbride has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 8.9% 7D: 13.8% 15D: 27.5% 30D: 15.7%

Model insight

East Kilbride – Dunfermline Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.43% and 5.43%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample40

Win Rate35.0%

Profit+11.10u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Leatherhead - Dorking Wanderers	3.75	5.43%
WIN	Vendsyssel FF - KFUM	3.75	5.43%
LOSS	Falu BS FK - Gefle IF	3.80	5.43%
WIN	Steinkjer - Kvik Trondheim	3.90	5.43%
LOSS	LP Super Sport Sofia (W) - FK Paldin Plovdiv (W)	3.75	5.43%
LOSS	Kolding IF (W) - Fortuna Hjørring (W)	3.75	5.43%
WIN	CA Metropolitano - Blumenau EC	3.75	5.43%
LOSS	Inter Moengo Tapoe - Robin Hood FC	3.80	5.43%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
HYH Export Sebaco FC - Diriangen	1	3.80	5.43%	12 Jul 22:00

Pick

1 @ 3.75

Kickoff

Lug 11, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 5.43% • n=49

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

5.43% • n=49

Start

Started 21h 11m ago

Updated

Updated 1d 15h ago