Finn Harps – Athlone Town

Model: TIPPSA

Finn Harps vs Athlone Town

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.21
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 79d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.92% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 79d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Athlone Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Athlone Town

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.18First seen
Current3.30Now
Max odds3.38Highest point
Min odds3.18Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Finn HarpsHOME
VS
Athlone TownAWAY
LLLDD
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.00
Shots on target for
2.20
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
3.00
Home splitL-L-D0.33 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitW-L1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.21. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.92% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Republic of Ireland First Division (ie). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.21
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.92% · n=29
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.92% · n=29
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Athlone Town has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Athlone Town has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 6.8% 7D: -4.1% 15D: 8.0% 30D: 14.7%
Model insight

Finn Harps – Athlone Town Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.92% and 2.92%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample28
Win Rate35.7%
Profit+5.14u
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LOSSAustralia (W) - Mexico (W)3.444.77%
LOSSSantamarina Tandil - Kimberley Mar del Plata3.014.96%
LOSSEgypt - Russia3.274.77%
LOSSRapid Vienna - SV Ried3.294.77%
WINAmerica MG - Vila Nova3.333.84%
Pick
2 @ 3.21
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.92% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.92% • n=29
Start
Started 79d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 79d 10h ago
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