Vikingur Reykjavik (W) – Stjarnan (W)

Model: TIPPSA

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) vs Stjarnan (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.31
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 77d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 78d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Stjarnan (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Stjarnan (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.40First seen
Current3.60Now
Max odds3.87Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)HOME
VS
Stjarnan (W)AWAY
W
Recent form
L
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.00
Shots on target for
4.00
7.00
SoT conceded pressure
7.00
4.00
Home splitW2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.31. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.94% based on n=186 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League Women (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.31
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Stjarnan (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 6.8% 7D: -4.1% 15D: 8.0% 30D: 14.7%
Model insight

Vikingur Reykjavik (W) – Stjarnan (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.31. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 186 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample30
Win Rate36.7%
Profit+6.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSLincoln Red Imps FC - Inter Club d'Escaldes3.304.77%
LOSSGhana - Panama3.354.77%
LOSSAustralia (W) - Mexico (W)3.444.77%
LOSSEgypt - Russia3.274.77%
LOSSRapid Vienna - SV Ried3.294.77%
WINAmerica MG - Vila Nova3.333.84%
LOSSSlavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen3.494.77%
LOSSWidzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice3.284.77%
Pick
2 @ 3.31
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=186
Start
Started 77d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 78d ago
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