Model: TIPPSH

Verona vs Lecce

PREDICTION

@ 2.78

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 25, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 77d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29

V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 78d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Verona. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Verona

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

22/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.72First seen

Current2.78Now

Max odds2.81Highest point

Min odds2.72Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

VeronaHOME

LecceAWAY

DLLL

Recent form

DDLL

Avg goals scored

0.25

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.50

Shots on target for

4.25

1.75

SoT conceded pressure

2.00

4.00

Home splitD-L-L0.00 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitD-L0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.78. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.20% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie A (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.78

V2 BandNONEROI -3.20% · n=29

V4 BandNONEROI -3.20% · n=29

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Verona is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -10.1% 7D: -4.1% 15D: 8.1% 30D: 15.7%

Model insight

Verona – Lecce Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.78. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.20% and -3.20%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample37

Win Rate29.7%

Profit-6.92u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Kungsängens IF - Skiljebo SK	2.82	-2.37%
LOSS	Panama (W) - Jamaica (W)	2.80	-2.37%
WIN	Atlantis - HIFK 2	2.77	-2.37%
WIN	Anapolis FC - Paysandu	3.00	-2.37%
LOSS	HERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W)	2.80	-1.00%
LOSS	Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka	2.89	-2.37%
LOSS	Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca	2.98	-3.20%
WIN	Greuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf	2.59	-1.54%

Pick

1 @ 2.78

Kickoff

Apr 25, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.20% • n=29

Confidence V4

CONF V4: NONE

Exp. ROI V4

-3.20% • n=29

Start

Started 77d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 78d 10h ago