Model: TIPPSH
Aris Limassol – AEK Larnaca
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 22, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 4
StartStarted 4d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Aris Limassol | AEK Larnaca |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-W-L | W-D-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-D (home) | W-D-L-D-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.25 conceded | 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.60 for / 5.60 against | 5.00 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.75 for / 5.50 against (home) | 5.00 for / 3.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Aris Limassol's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current2.33Now
Max odds3.10Highest point
Min odds2.32Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Aris Limassol – AEK Larnaca Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample45
Win Rate55.6%
Profit+9.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Muniz - Fenix | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Rabotnicki Skopje - Tikves Kavadarci | 2.19 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Chattanooga FC - Carolina Core FC | 1.98 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Granat Skarzysko-Kamienna - Wierna Malogoszcz | 2.10 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Escobar FC - Independiente Chivilcoy | 2.32 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | TPS U21 - FC Honka U21 | 2.08 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Geoje Citizen FC - Gijang United | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | CA Alvarado - Olimpo B Blanca | 2.23 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palestino - Deportivo Riestra | 1 | 2.38 | 1.59% | 27 May 00:00 |
| Belgrano Reserves - Quilmes Reserves | 1 | 2.10 | 1.31% | 27 May 20:00 |
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| Fram Reykjavik - Breidablik | 1 | 2.32 | 1.59% | 29 May 21:15 |
| Avai - Criciuma | 1 | 2.35 | 1.59% | 30 May 21:00 |
| Manta FC - Club Atletico Libertad | 1 | 2.31 | 1.59% | 30 May 21:00 |
| Degerfors - Brommapojkarna | 1 | 2.39 | 1.59% | 31 May 14:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Mag 22, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Started 4d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 9h ago