Model: TipTromba12H

Yuen Long vs Supreme FC

PREDICTION

@ 11.00

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 26, 2026 9:30 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 5

StartStarted 77d 11h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.18% · n=37

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 78d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Yuen Long. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Yuen Long

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Yuen LongHOME

Supreme FCAWAY

LDL

Recent form

WWW

Avg goals scored

2.00

4.33

Defensive weakness

5.00

0.67

Shots on target for

4.67

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

8.67

3.33

Home splitL-D-L2.00 scored / 5.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-W4.33 scored / 0.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 11.00. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.18% based on n=37 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Hong Kong 1st Division (hk). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd11.00

V2 BandLOWROI 1.18% · n=37

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Yuen Long. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -8.9% 7D: 0.8% 15D: 6.4% 30D: 15.2%

Model insight

Yuen Long – Supreme FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 11.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba12H model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.18% across 37 similar predictions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample13

Win Rate15.4%

Profit+9.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Gutersloh 2000 - Schalke	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	KAC 1909 - Austria Klagenfurt	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	Switzerland U19 (W) - Spain U19 (W)	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	Nippon Steel Oita - MHI Nagasaki	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	Jacobina EC - Fluminense De Feira	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	Thor/KA Akureyri (W) - Breidablik (W)	11.00	1.00%
LOSS	Isa Town - Al Ittifaq Maqaba	11.00	1.27%
LOSS	Rio Ave - Sporting	11.00	1.18%

Pick

1 @ 11.00

Kickoff

Apr 26, 2026 9:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.18% • n=37

Start

Started 77d 11h ago

Updated

Updated 78d 14h ago