Model: TipTromba3H
Guarani de Palhoca – CA Metropolitano
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 30d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.79% · n=36
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 11.79% · n=36
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 14h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Guarani de Palhoca | CA Metropolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L | W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Home/Away form | L (home) | W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.00 for / 5.00 against | 5.00 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 5.00 for / 3.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Guarani de Palhoca. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.50First seen
Current3.40Now
Max odds3.71Highest point
Min odds2.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Guarani de Palhoca – CA Metropolitano Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 11.79% and 11.79%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate53.3%
Profit+5.63u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Cerrito - Huracan DPA | 2.55 | 8.24% |
| WIN | Gladiator - FC Matese | 2.50 | 10.85% |
| WIN | Balcatta U23 - Western Knights U23 | 2.50 | 10.85% |
| LOSS | Penarol AM (W) - Doce Mel EC (W) | 2.63 | 8.53% |
| WIN | Angkor Tiger FC - Svay Rieng FC | 2.60 | 11.79% |
| LOSS | Hills United FC (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W) | 2.50 | 11.79% |
| WIN | Maccabi Herzliya U19 - FC Ashdod U19 | 2.55 | 8.53% |
| WIN | Persib Bandung U20 - Malut United FC U20 | 2.70 | 8.53% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brunswick City - Manningham United Blues | 1 | 2.55 | 8.24% | 29 May 11:30 |
Pick
1 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 11.79% • n=36
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
11.79% • n=36
Start
Started 30d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 14h ago