Model: TipTromba35H
Penarol AM (W) – Doce Mel EC (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 13, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 13d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.91% · n=66
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.91% · n=66
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Penarol AM (W) | Doce Mel EC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-W-W-W | W-L-D-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.80 | 0.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-W (home) | W-L-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.75 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.75 scored / 1.75 conceded |
| Shots on target | 9.00 for / 6.00 against | 4.60 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 9.00 for / 6.00 against (home) | 4.25 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Penarol AM (W) has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Penarol AM (W) has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current3.00Now
Max odds3.00Highest point
Min odds2.60Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Penarol AM (W) – Doce Mel EC (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -0.91% and -0.91%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample69
Win Rate29.0%
Profit-6.71u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | CF Jaraiz - CD Badajoz | 3.10 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Urawa Red Diamonds - FC Tokyo | 3.00 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Hodd - Sogndal | 3.08 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Real Noroeste Capixaba - Rio Branco ES | 3.20 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Cavalier - Montego Bay Utd | 3.00 | -0.30% |
| WIN | Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna | 3.10 | -0.30% |
| LOSS | Slovan Liberec - Sparta Prague | 3.00 | -0.30% |
| WIN | Macarthur Rams (W) - Northern Tigers FC (W) | 3.20 | -0.30% |
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Mag 13, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.91% • n=66
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.91% • n=66
Start
Started 13d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 13d 17h ago