Samgurali – Dinamo Tbilisi

Model: TIPPSA

Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 25, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 2
StartStarted 81d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 81d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Dinamo Tbilisi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Dinamo Tbilisi

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.26Now
Max odds2.26Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SamguraliHOME
VS
Dinamo TbilisiAWAY
LLLLW
Recent form
WLDDD
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.40
1.00
Shots on target for
4.00
6.00
SoT conceded pressure
6.40
3.60
Home splitL-L-W1.00 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitW-D1.00 scored / 0.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.26. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.31% based on n=578 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia Erovnuli Liga (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.26
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.31% · n=578
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Dinamo Tbilisi's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -9.3% 7D: 1.4% 15D: 8.1% 30D: 15.7%
Model insight

Samgurali – Dinamo Tbilisi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.31% across 578 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample156
Win Rate42.9%
Profit-5.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINLipno Steszew - Unia Swarzedz2.444.13%
WINCraigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)2.343.43%
LOSSUnion La Calera - Universidad de Chile2.293.59%
LOSSVotoraty U23 - Guarulhos U232.082.63%
LOSSVidar - Pors Grenland2.082.63%
WINSanta Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U232.012.63%
LOSSIF Gnistan - SJK2.514.13%
LOSSLech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)2.253.59%
Pick
2 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Apr 25, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.31% • n=578
Start
Started 81d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 81d 21h ago
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