IF Gnistan – SJK

Model: TIPPSA

IF Gnistan vs SJK

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.60
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 30, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 2
StartStarted 48d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.13% · n=261
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 48d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SJK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SJK

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.46First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.32Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IF GnistanHOME
VS
SJKAWAY
WLWDW
Recent form
LWLLW
Avg goals scored
2.20
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.40
Shots on target for
4.60
5.40
SoT conceded pressure
3.60
4.20
Home splitW-W-W-L-L2.20 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-W-D-W-L2.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.60. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.13% based on n=261 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.60
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.13% · n=261
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 2.6% 7D: 8.3% 15D: 22.4% 30D: 8.9%
Model insight

IF Gnistan – SJK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.13% and 4.13%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample125
Win Rate44.0%
Profit+14.99u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINLipno Steszew - Unia Swarzedz2.444.13%
WINKF Drita - FK Kauno Zalgiris2.854.96%
LOSSFencibles United - East Coast Bays2.814.96%
WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
WINMaldives - Afghanistan2.634.13%
WINChongqing Tonglianglong - Beijing Guoan2.523.43%
LOSSDeportes Recoleta - San Luis Quillota2.563.43%
LOSSNK Radomlje - NS Mura2.554.13%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.60
Kickoff
Mag 30, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.13% • n=261
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.13% • n=261
Start
Started 48d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 48d 11h ago
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